Will Sungjae Im make the cut for The Open Championship
Sungjae Im is priced at 40¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 78¢ ask, 76¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside The Open Championship.
Price history
40¢ current
Contract brief
If Sungjae Im has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Sungjae Im
Rank
#12 of 16
Leader
Bud Cauley 92¢
Range
1¢-92¢
Family volume
$50
Identifier
KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-SIM
Jun 29, 2026, 11:39 PM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
78¢
Spread
76¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#12 of 16
16 outcomes · The Open Championship
Closes
Aug 16, 2026
Family volume
$50
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 78¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Sungjae Im has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 16, 2026
Identifier
KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-SIM
Event family
The Open Championship.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$50
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Bud Cauley 92¢
Current share
0%
Bud Cauley
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-BCAU
Ben Griffin
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-BGRI
Kurt Kitayama
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-KKIT
Xander Schauffele
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-XSCH
Matt Fitzpatrick
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-MFIT
Tommy Fleetwood
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-TFLE
Ludvig Aberg
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-LABE
Alex Fitzpatrick
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-AFIT
Stuart Grehan
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-SGRE
Si Woo Kim
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-WKIM
Bryson DeChambeau
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-BDEC
Jackson Koivun
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-JKOI
Sungjae Im
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-SIM
Justin Thomas
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-JTHO
Cameron Young
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-CAME
Angel Ayora Fanegas
kalshi · KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-AAYO
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.