SimpleFunctions

↑ 20 · What price will Chainlink hit in 2026

↑ 20 is priced at 24¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 9¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 24¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 8 inside What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?.

Price history

24¢ current

12¢
25¢50¢
May 18, 2026Jun 17, 2026

Contract brief

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Chainlink (LINK/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 17:35 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the LINK/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/LINK_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance LINK/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.

Outcome

↑ 20

Rank

#6 of 8

Leader

↓ 6 57¢

Range

16¢-57¢

Family volume

$16K

Identifier

0xc07dd495...f013

Jun 17, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

24¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 17, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

Ask

33¢

Spread

24¢

24h volume

$34

Family rank

#6 of 8

8 outcomes · What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$16K

Orderbook snapshot

9 / 33¢

Polymarket
24¢ spread
BidSize
9¢102
8¢65
7¢119
6¢100
5¢8
4¢300
3¢9.6K
2¢7.6K
AskSize
33¢112
43¢40
44¢100
47¢5
48¢5
62¢7
78¢14
80¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Chainlink (LINK/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 17:35 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the LINK/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/LINK_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance LINK/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

0xc07dd495…f013

SF Signal
SF Index
554.04
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

554.0%

IY (No)

61.6%

Adj IY

554%

CRI

3

RV

1886%

VR

8.15

Regime

neutral

Score

0.432

Observability

medium

Event type

unknown

Full indicator table

554.0%
61.6%
Adj IY
554%
3
RV
1886%
VR
8.15
IAR
1.9/h
Overround
1.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.