What price will Hyperliquid hit in April?
Leader sits at 83% across 20 bound outcomes, runner-up at 73%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
↑ 46
Outcomes
20
winner-take-all
Runner-up
73¢
↑ 50
Spread
10pp
contested
24h volume
$65K
liquid
Closes
—
not derived
Venue
Polymarket
20 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
What price
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 45,000
0x024b68…6fee
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 40,000
0x1e5564…baa2
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 50,000
0xce3c54…2c56
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 55,000
0x752fa6…8a8c
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 35,000
0x2745c3…a2a2
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↓ 20
0xa4cab1…23e9
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↓ 16
0x8555a0…b7bf
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 50
0xfd2bdf…e00e
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?: ↓ 1,500
0xcf25cc…9780
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 100
0xeae133…4467
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 200,000
0xac32e7…68cd
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 54
0x08aa31…301b
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 70
0xcd9228…df8e
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 66
0xda041e…7e27
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↓ 8
0x587313…6b02
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 62
0xc53e5d…ef22
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 80
0xc2b327…d9c4
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 58
0x8f1a32…0660
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↑ 46
0x2ccd47…3845
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↓ 12
0x8f9956…cc8a
What moved the line
- Apr 28↓ 16↑19pp19→38¢ · Polymarket
- Apr 30↓ 12↓19pp27→8¢ · Polymarket
- Apr 28↓ 12↑18pp9→27¢ · Polymarket
- May 2↑ 54↑17pp45→62¢ · Polymarket
- May 2↑ 66↓14pp45→31¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 2 min ago.