SimpleFunctions

1: Baltimore / 2: Cleveland / 3: Cincinnati / 4: Pittsburgh · What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC North at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1

1: Baltimore / 2: Cleveland / 3: Cincinnati / 4: Pittsburgh is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 9 inside What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC North at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1.

Price history

12¢ current

10¢15¢
Aug 2, 2026Aug 2, 2026

Contract brief

If Baltimore finishes first, Cleveland finishes second, Cincinnati finishes third, and Pittsburgh finishes fourth in the AFC North at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

1: Baltimore / 2: Cleveland / 3: Cincinnati / 4: Pittsburgh

Rank

#6 of 9

Leader

1: Cincinnati / 2: Baltimore / 3: Pittsburgh / 4: Cleveland 20¢

Range

9¢-20¢

Family volume

$5

Identifier

KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCNORTH-BALCLECINPIT

Aug 2, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 26m ago

Implied probability

12¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 2, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 26m ago

Bid

Ask

12¢

Spread

12¢

Reported volume

$133

Family rank

#6 of 9

9 outcomes · What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC North at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Family volume

$5

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 12¢

Kalshi
12¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
12¢2.5K
14¢5.0K
27¢90
55¢2.1K
57¢616

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Baltimore finishes first, Cleveland finishes second, Cincinnati finishes third, and Pittsburgh finishes fourth in the AFC North at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCNORTH-BALCLECINPIT

SF Signal
SF Index
730.69
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1461.4%

IY (No)

27.2%

Adj IY

731%

CRI

7

Overround

0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1461.4%
27.2%
Adj IY
731%
7
Overround
0.2%

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmacro

US Recession 2025? What 1% Prediction Market Odds Get Right—and Wrong—About the Cycle

Prediction markets put 2025 US recession odds near 1%, while yield curves, economic indicators, and institutional forecasts point to much higher risk. This deep dive compares market pricing to historical base rates, Federal Reserve policy, and forecasting models to see if investors are underpricing recession risk.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Technicalrisk

Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter

How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.