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1: Pittsburgh / 2: Baltimore / 3: Cincinnati / 4: Cleveland · What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC North at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1

1: Pittsburgh / 2: Baltimore / 3: Cincinnati / 4: Cleveland is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 10 inside What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC North at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1.

Price history

13¢ current

10¢15¢
Aug 4, 2026Aug 4, 2026

Contract brief

If Pittsburgh finishes first, Baltimore finishes second, Cincinnati finishes third, and Cleveland finishes fourth in the AFC North at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

1: Pittsburgh / 2: Baltimore / 3: Cincinnati / 4: Cleveland

Rank

#4 of 10

Leader

1: Cincinnati / 2: Baltimore / 3: Pittsburgh / 4: Cleveland 20¢

Range

9¢-20¢

Family volume

$73

Identifier

KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCNORTH-PITBALCINCLE

Aug 4, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 28m ago

Implied probability

13¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 4, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 28m ago

Bid

Ask

13¢

Spread

13¢

24h volume

$73

Family rank

#4 of 10

10 outcomes · What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC North at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Family volume

$73

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 13¢

Kalshi
13¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
13¢2.5K
15¢5.0K
28¢90
66¢2.7K
67¢6

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Pittsburgh finishes first, Baltimore finishes second, Cincinnati finishes third, and Cleveland finishes fourth in the AFC North at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCNORTH-PITBALCINCLE

SF Signal
SF Index
675.19
Regime
neutral

Event family

What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC North at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$73

Outcomes

10

Highest price

1: Cincinnati / 2: Baltimore / 3: Pittsburgh / 4: Cleveland 20¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1350.4%

IY (No)

30.2%

Adj IY

675%

CRI

7

Overround

0.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1350.4%
30.2%
Adj IY
675%
7
Overround
0.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.