At least $1800 · What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?: At least $
At least $1800 is priced at 91¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 92¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?: At least $.
Price history
91¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If the first price announced for a foldable iPhone is at least $1800, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least $1800
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
At least $1800 92¢
Range
55¢-92¢
Family volume
$817
Identifier
KXAAPLPRICEFOLD-27-1800
Jun 26, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
92¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$13K
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?: At least $
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$817
Orderbook snapshot
92 / 97¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the first price announced for a foldable iPhone is at least $1800, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXAAPLPRICEFOLD-27-1800
Event family
What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?: At least $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$817
Outcomes
3
Highest price
At least $1800 92¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
Read 91% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.