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What will the announcers say during 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup Final

Trump is priced at 64¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 63¢ bid, 64¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside What will the announcers say during 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup Final.

Price history

64¢ current

+61¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jul 8, 2026Jul 12, 2026

Contract brief

If any official broadcast commentator - includes play by play, color commentator, rules analyst or sideline reporter says Trump as part of 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup Final , then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Trump

Rank

#8 of 16

Leader

Messi 92¢

Range

1¢-92¢

Family volume

$147K

Identifier

KXWCMENTION-MENWORLDCUP-TRUM

Jul 12, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 15m ago

Implied probability

64¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 12, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 15m ago

Bid

63¢

Ask

64¢

Spread

24h volume

$10K

Family rank

#8 of 16

16 outcomes · What will the announcers say during 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup Final

Closes

Aug 2, 2026

Family volume

$147K

Orderbook snapshot

63 / 64¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
63¢562
62¢3
61¢77
60¢184
59¢89
AskSize
64¢73
65¢173
66¢336
67¢80
68¢237

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If any official broadcast commentator - includes play by play, color commentator, rules analyst or sideline reporter says Trump as part of 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup Final , then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 2, 2026

Identifier

KXWCMENTION-MENWORLDCUP-TRUM

SF Signal
SF Index
2913.24
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1021.1%

IY (No)

2960.3%

Adj IY

2913%

CRI

2

RV

317%

VR

0.89

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1021.1%
2960.3%
Adj IY
2913%
2
RV
317%
VR
0.89
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
18.4%
LAS
0.02

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.