SimpleFunctions

Before Apr 1, 2027 · When will Glean IPO?: Before

Before Apr 1, 2027 is priced at 31¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 12 inside When will Glean IPO?: Before.

Price history

31¢ current

+15¢
20¢30¢
May 30, 2026Jun 14, 2026

Contract brief

If Glean confirms an IPO before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Before Apr 1, 2027

Rank

#3 of 12

Leader

Before Jun 1, 2027 17¢

Range

1¢-17¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXIPOGLEAN-27APR01

Jun 25, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

31¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

15¢

Ask

24¢

Spread

Reported volume

$2

Family rank

#3 of 12

12 outcomes · When will Glean IPO?: Before

Closes

Apr 1, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

15 / 24¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
100¢500
15¢500
11¢102
3¢52
2¢820
AskSize
24¢500
83¢1.4K
84¢121
98¢49
99¢550

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Glean confirms an IPO before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Apr 1, 2027

Identifier

KXIPOGLEAN-27APR01

SF Signal
SF Index
370.43
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

740.9%

IY (No)

23.1%

Adj IY

370%

CRI

6

Overround

0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

high

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

740.9%
23.1%
Adj IY
370%
6
Overround
0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.