SimpleFunctions

Before Feb 1, 2027 · When will Glean IPO?: Before

Before Feb 1, 2027 is priced at 16¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 12 inside When will Glean IPO?: Before.

Price history

16¢ current

+4¢
10¢20¢
Jun 2, 2026Jun 17, 2026

Contract brief

If Glean confirms an IPO before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Before Feb 1, 2027

Rank

#6 of 12

Leader

Before Jun 1, 2027 17¢

Range

2¢-17¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXIPOGLEAN-27FEB01

Jun 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 10m ago

Implied probability

16¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jun 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 10m ago

Bid

11¢

Ask

20¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#6 of 12

12 outcomes · When will Glean IPO?: Before

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 20¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
11¢500
5¢102
4¢13
3¢43
2¢829
AskSize
20¢500
85¢1.9K
87¢48
88¢151
99¢550

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Glean confirms an IPO before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Identifier

KXIPOGLEAN-27FEB01

SF Signal
SF Index
679.11
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1358.2%

IY (No)

20.7%

Adj IY

679%

CRI

8

Overround

0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

1358.2%
20.7%
Adj IY
679%
8
Overround
0.2%

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.