SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2028602 days left

Who will be announced as Lorne Michaels' successor at SNL?

This contract is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

12¢
$9K volume
$3K liquidity
869% of event volume

Event outcomes

9

Family volume

$1K

Best sibling

Steve Higgins 39¢

Ticker

KXSNL-28-SMEY

Market snapshot

Seth Meyers in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Who will be announced as Lorne Michaels' successor at SNL?. The displayed quote is 12¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $575. In the Who will be announced as Lorne Michaels' successor at SNL family, this outcome ranks #4 of 9 by current quote across 9 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Seth Meyers

Family rank

#4 of 9

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

12¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2028

24h volume

$575

Family context

9 outcomes · Who will be announced as Lorne Michaels' successor at SNL

Quote range

1¢-39¢

Family leader

Steve Higgins 39¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 1m ago

Venue identifier: KXSNL-28-SMEY. Family volume: $1K.

Price history

12¢ current

+5¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

12 / 13¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
12¢440
10¢415
8¢200
4¢53
3¢657
AskSize
13¢3.3K
16¢12
18¢200
20¢200
22¢333

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Seth Meyers is announced to be succeeding Lorne Michaels as showrunner of SNL before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2028

Identifier

KXSNL-28-SMEY

Event family

Who will be announced as Lorne Michaels' successor at SNL.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$1K

Outcomes

9

Highest price

Steve Higgins 39¢

Current share

56%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

444.3%

IY (No)

8.3%

Adj IY

222%

CRI

7

Overround

0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

medium

Event type

cultural

Full indicator table

444.3%
8.3%
Adj IY
222%
7
Overround
0.1%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

Blogtech

MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket

Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index