Who will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026
Khamzat Chimaev is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 8 inside Who will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026.
Price history
26¢ current
+12¢Contract brief
If Khamzat Chimaev is the UFC Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Khamzat Chimaev
Rank
#2 of 8
Leader
Sean Strickland 69¢
Range
1¢-69¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXUFCMIDDLEWEIGHTTITLE-26-KCHI
Jun 28, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
12¢
Ask
22¢
Spread
10¢
24h volume
$15
Family rank
#2 of 8
8 outcomes · Who will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
12 / 22¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Khamzat Chimaev is the UFC Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXUFCMIDDLEWEIGHTTITLE-26-KCHI
Event family
Who will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Sean Strickland 69¢
Current share
1%
Sean Strickland
kalshi · KXUFCMIDDLEWEIGHTTITLE-26-SSTR
Khamzat Chimaev
kalshi · KXUFCMIDDLEWEIGHTTITLE-26-KCHI
Caio Borralho
kalshi · KXUFCMIDDLEWEIGHTTITLE-26-CBOR
Nassourdine Imavov
kalshi · KXUFCMIDDLEWEIGHTTITLE-26-NIMA
Dricus Du Plessis
kalshi · KXUFCMIDDLEWEIGHTTITLE-26-DPLE
Anthony Hernandez
kalshi · KXUFCMIDDLEWEIGHTTITLE-26-AHER
Israel Adesanya
kalshi · KXUFCMIDDLEWEIGHTTITLE-26-IADE
Reinier de Ridder
kalshi · KXUFCMIDDLEWEIGHTTITLE-26-RRID
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.