Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Question 1

What is the current probability for "Who will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

This prediction market is currently priced at 27¢ (27% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on December 31, 2026. 254 days remaining.

Question 2

What is the implied yield on "Who will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 481.8% and 43.0% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Question 3

Where can I trade "Who will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	481.8%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	43.0%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	199%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	3	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.17	Liquidity Availability Score

Who will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions