Who will perform at Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City
Jorja Smith is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside Who will perform at Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City.
Price history
12¢ current
+9¢Contract brief
If Jorja Smith performs (or it is announced that they will perform at) at Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City during the official event timeframe, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jorja Smith
Rank
#13 of 16
Leader
Elton John 16¢
Range
5¢-16¢
Family volume
$12
Identifier
KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-JOR
May 25, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
13¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$122
Family rank
#13 of 16
16 outcomes · Who will perform at Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City
Closes
Nov 30, 2026
Family volume
$12
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 13¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jorja Smith performs (or it is announced that they will perform at) at Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City during the official event timeframe, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 30, 2026
Identifier
KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-JOR
Event family
Who will perform at Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$12
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Elton John 16¢
Current share
0%
Elton John
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-ELT
Lorde
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-LOR
Zayn Malik
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-ZAY
Paul McCartney
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-PAU
Stevie Nicks
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-STE
Louis Tomlinson
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-LOU
Taylor Swift
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-TAY
Niall Horan
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-NIA
Phoebe Bridgers
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-PHO
Mick Fleetwood
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-MIC
Charli XCX
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-CHA
Noah Kahan
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-NOA
Jorja Smith
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-JOR
Olivia Rodrigo
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-OLI
Billie Eilish
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-BIL
Bad Bunny
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-BAD
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.