Who will perform at Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City
Zayn Malik is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside Who will perform at Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City.
Price history
14¢ current
+11¢Contract brief
If Zayn Malik performs (or it is announced that they will perform at) at Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City during the official event timeframe, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Zayn Malik
Rank
#8 of 16
Leader
Stevie Nicks 18¢
Range
9¢-18¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-ZAY
May 24, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
14¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$176
Family rank
#8 of 16
16 outcomes · Who will perform at Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City
Closes
Nov 30, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
14 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Zayn Malik performs (or it is announced that they will perform at) at Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City during the official event timeframe, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 30, 2026
Identifier
KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-ZAY
Event family
Who will perform at Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Stevie Nicks 18¢
Current share
8%
Stevie Nicks
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-STE
Paul McCartney
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-PAU
Elton John
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-ELT
Phoebe Bridgers
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-PHO
Lorde
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-LOR
Louis Tomlinson
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-LOU
Taylor Swift
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-TAY
Zayn Malik
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-ZAY
Mick Fleetwood
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-MIC
Niall Horan
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-NIA
Charli XCX
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-CHA
Noah Kahan
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-NOA
Jorja Smith
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-JOR
Olivia Rodrigo
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-OLI
Billie Eilish
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-BIL
Bad Bunny
kalshi · KXPERFORMSTYLESMSG-26-BAD
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket
Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 14% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.