Who will perform the next James Bond Song?
Prediction markets currently give a 9% probability that Who will perform the next James Bond Song?. This contract trades at 9¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2035. This market shows extreme asymmetry with a 275% implied yield on the Yes side versus just 0.5% on the No side, suggesting the 9¢ price significantly undervalues Miley Cyrus's odds relative to market consensus.
Analysis
This market shows extreme asymmetry with a 275% implied yield on the Yes side versus just 0.5% on the No side, suggesting the 9¢ price significantly undervalues Miley Cyrus's odds relative to market consensus. The $0 24-hour volume combined with $410 open interest and a wide 5¢ spread indicates severe illiquidity, making the quoted price potentially unreliable for actual execution. With over 8 years until expiry and a moderate 24 cliff risk index, this appears to be a speculative long-shot bet rather than a near-term catalyst-driven position.
Resolution rules
If Miley Cyrus performs the next James Bond film theme, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXPERFORMBONDSONG-35-MIL yes 100