Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election?
Prediction markets currently give a 10% probability that Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election?. This contract trades at 10¢ on Kalshi, closing February 23, 2028. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $1,406 open interest, making the 619% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $1,406 open interest, making the 619% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable. The 10-cent price reflects a very low probability for incumbent Brandon Johnson's reelection, though with 678 days to expiry there's substantial time for political conditions to shift. The 2-cent spread and neutral regime score suggest limited conviction among traders, and the 12 Cliff Risk Index warrants caution about potential sharp repricing closer to the election.
Resolution rules
If Brandon Johnson wins the 2027 Chicago mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXCHICAGOMAYOR-27-BJOH yes 100