Javier Milei · KXARGENTINAPRES-27
Javier Milei is priced at 56¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 53¢ bid, 57¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside KXARGENTINAPRES-27.
Price history
56¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If the winner of the next Argentine presidential election in 2027 is Javier Milei, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Javier Milei
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Javier Milei 53¢
Range
1¢-53¢
Family volume
$758
Identifier
KXARGENTINAPRES-27-JMIL
Jun 23, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
53¢
Ask
57¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$758
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · KXARGENTINAPRES-27
Closes
Oct 30, 2028
Family volume
$758
Orderbook snapshot
53 / 57¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the winner of the next Argentine presidential election in 2027 is Javier Milei, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 30, 2028
Identifier
KXARGENTINAPRES-27-JMIL
Event family
KXARGENTINAPRES-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$758
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Javier Milei 53¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
maker
Score
0.295
Observability
none
Event type
political
Odds pages
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.