Axel Kicillof · KXARGENTINAPRES-27
Axel Kicillof is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 31¢ ask, 23¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside KXARGENTINAPRES-27.
Price history
26¢ current
−8¢Contract brief
If the winner of the next Argentine presidential election is Axel Kicillof, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Axel Kicillof
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Javier Milei 55¢
Range
1¢-55¢
Family volume
$147
Identifier
KXARGENTINAPRES-27-AKIC
Sep 10, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
31¢
Spread
23¢
24h volume
$26
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · KXARGENTINAPRES-27
Closes
Oct 30, 2028
Family volume
$147
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 31¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the winner of the next Argentine presidential election is Axel Kicillof, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 30, 2028
Identifier
KXARGENTINAPRES-27-AKIC
Event family
KXARGENTINAPRES-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$147
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Javier Milei 55¢
Current share
18%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.