Florence Welch · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDINGATTEND-28DEC31
Florence Welch is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDINGATTEND-28DEC31.
Price history
15¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If Florence Welch attended Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Florence Welch
Rank
#14 of 16
Leader
Patrick Mahomes 91¢
Range
8¢-91¢
Family volume
$7K
Identifier
KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDINGATTEND-28DEC-FLO
Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
#14 of 16
16 outcomes · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDINGATTEND-28DEC31
Closes
Dec 31, 2028
Family volume
$7K
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Florence Welch attended Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2028
Identifier
KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDINGATTEND-28DEC-FLO
Event family
KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDINGATTEND-28DEC31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$7K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Patrick Mahomes 91¢
Current share
39%
Patrick Mahomes
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDINGATTEND-28DEC31-PAT
Selena Gomez
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDINGATTEND-28DEC31-SEL
Brittany Mahomes
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDINGATTEND-28DEC31-BRI
Jack Antonoff
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDINGATTEND-28DEC31-JAC
Benny Blanco
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDINGATTEND-28DEC-BEN
Danielle Haim
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDINGATTEND-28DEC31-DAN
Sabrina Carpenter
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDINGATTEND-28DEC31-SAB
Gracie Abrams
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDINGATTEND-28DEC31-GRA
Max Martin
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDINGATTEND-28DEC31-MAX
Lana Del Rey
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDINGATTEND-28DEC31-LAN
Phoebe Bridgers
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDINGATTEND-28DEC31-PHO
Lorde
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDINGATTEND-28DEC-LOR
Blake Lively
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDINGATTEND-28DEC31-BLA
Florence Welch
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDINGATTEND-28DEC-FLO
Katy Perry
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDINGATTEND-28DEC-KAT
Justin Trudeau
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDINGATTEND-28DEC-JUS
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.