3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law on Dec 10, 2026
On Dec 10, 2026 is priced at 52¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 79¢ bid, 85¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law.
Price history
52¢ current
+6¢Contract brief
If, as of 11:59 PM ET on Dec 10, 2026, federal law treats a hemp-derived beverage intended for human ingestion containing 3 milligrams or more of Total THC per Container as lawful hemp excluded from the Controlled Substances Act definition of marihuana rather than as a Schedule I controlled substance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
On Dec 10, 2026
Rank
#3 of 4
Leader
On Nov 13, 2026 92¢
Range
4¢-92¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXTHC3MG-FED-26DEC10
Sep 22, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
79¢
Ask
85¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$11K
Family rank
#3 of 4
4 outcomes · Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law
Closes
Dec 11, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
79 / 85¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If, as of 11:59 PM ET on Dec 10, 2026, federal law treats a hemp-derived beverage intended for human ingestion containing 3 milligrams or more of Total THC per Container as lawful hemp excluded from the Controlled Substances Act definition of marihuana rather than as a Schedule I controlled substance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 11, 2026
Identifier
KXTHC3MG-FED-26DEC10
Event family
Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
4
Highest price
On Nov 13, 2026 92¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.