What is the current probability for "Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed in 2026?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 45¢ (45% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on December 31, 2026. 242 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed in 2026?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 184.6% and 123.6% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed in 2026?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiDec 31, 2026242 days left

Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed in 2026?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 45¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 45¢ bid, 46¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

45¢

$160K volume

$71K liquidity

100% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$160K

Best sibling

—

Ticker

KXINTERSTELLAR-26

Price history

45¢ current

−6¢

Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

45 / 46¢

Kalshi

1¢ spread

BidSize

45¢16

44¢57

43¢162

42¢76

41¢433

AskSize

46¢34

47¢835

60¢23

63¢38

64¢116

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If any object is confirmed to be an interstellar visitor before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

KXINTERSTELLAR-26

Event family

This market.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$160K

Outcomes

Highest price