Before 2028 · KXTRUMPPRES-28
Before 2028 is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
7¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If a member of the Donald J. Trump family (including him personally) is nominated as the 2028 Republican presidential candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before 2028
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$113
Identifier
KXTRUMPPRES-28
Jul 23, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$113
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Nov 7, 2028
Family volume
$113
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 11¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a member of the Donald J. Trump family (including him personally) is nominated as the 2028 Republican presidential candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 7, 2028
Identifier
KXTRUMPPRES-28
Event family
KXTRUMPPRES-28.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$113
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Before 2028 6¢
Current share
100%
Before 2028
kalshi · KXTRUMPPRES-28
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.