Adele · KXTOUR-27
Adele is priced at 23¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside KXTOUR-27.
Price history
23¢ current
+13¢Contract brief
If Adele announces a new tour before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Adele
Rank
#15 of 16
Leader
Drake 80¢
Range
7¢-80¢
Family volume
$265
Identifier
KXTOUR-27-ADE
Jun 26, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
24¢
Spread
11¢
Reported volume
$1K
Family rank
#15 of 16
16 outcomes · KXTOUR-27
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$265
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 24¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Adele announces a new tour before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXTOUR-27-ADE
Event family
KXTOUR-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$265
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Drake 80¢
Current share
0%
Drake
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-DRA
Travis Scott
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-TRA
Justin Bieber
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-JUS
Sabrina Carpenter
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-SAB
The Weeknd
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-WEE
Beyoncé
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-BEY
Lady Gaga
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-LAD
Dua Lipa
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-DUA
Bad Bunny
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-BAD
Kanye West / Ye
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-KAN
Rihanna
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-RIH
Kendrick Lamar
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-KEN
SZA
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-SZA
Taylor Swift
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-TAY
Adele
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-ADE
Frank Ocean
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-FRA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.