The Weeknd · KXTOUR-27
The Weeknd is priced at 51¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 40¢ bid, 51¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXTOUR-27.
Price history
51¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If The Weeknd announces a new tour before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
The Weeknd
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
Drake 84¢
Range
7¢-84¢
Family volume
$921
Identifier
KXTOUR-27-WEE
Jun 23, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
40¢
Ask
51¢
Spread
11¢
24h volume
$2
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · KXTOUR-27
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$921
Orderbook snapshot
40 / 51¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If The Weeknd announces a new tour before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXTOUR-27-WEE
Event family
KXTOUR-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$921
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Drake 84¢
Current share
0%
Drake
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-DRA
Travis Scott
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-TRA
Doja Cat
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-DOJ
Justin Bieber
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-JUS
Sabrina Carpenter
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-SAB
Beyoncé
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-BEY
The Weeknd
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-WEE
Kanye West / Ye
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-KAN
Coldplay
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-COL
Dua Lipa
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-DUA
Bad Bunny
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-BAD
Jay-Z
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-JAY
SZA
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-SZA
Eminem
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-EMI
Adele
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-ADE
Frank Ocean
kalshi · KXTOUR-27-FRA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 51% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.