SimpleFunctions

Will Burger King advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Burger King · KXWCADS-26JUL19

Will Burger King advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Burger King is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside KXWCADS-26JUL19.

Price history

11¢ current

10¢20¢
Jul 10, 2026Jul 12, 2026

Contract brief

If Burger King aired at least one qualifying advertisement during the official broadcast of 2026 World Cup Final, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will Burger King advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Burger King

Rank

#13 of 16

Leader

Will Adidas advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Adidas 87¢

Range

3¢-87¢

Family volume

$41K

Identifier

KXWCADS-26JUL19-BURG

Jul 13, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 10m ago

Implied probability

11¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 13, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 10m ago

Bid

11¢

Ask

12¢

Spread

24h volume

$1K

Family rank

#13 of 16

16 outcomes · KXWCADS-26JUL19

Closes

Jul 19, 2027

Family volume

$41K

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 12¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
11¢47
10¢30
9¢200
6¢166
5¢977
AskSize
12¢100
14¢32
15¢351
18¢666
19¢300

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Burger King aired at least one qualifying advertisement during the official broadcast of 2026 World Cup Final, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 19, 2027

Identifier

KXWCADS-26JUL19-BURG

SF Signal
SF Index
397.45
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXWCADS-26JUL19.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$41K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Will Adidas advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Adidas 87¢

Current share

3%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Will Adidas advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Adidas

kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-ADID

87¢
$7K$7K0.0

Will Anthropic / Claude advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Anthropic / Claude

kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-ANTH

66¢
$2K$2K0.0

Will UberEats advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: UberEats

kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-UBER

58¢
$2K$2K0.0

Will DoorDash advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: DoorDash

kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-DOOR

57¢
$1K$1K

Will McDonald's advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: McDonald's

kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-MCDO

53¢
$4K$4K0.0

Will Home Depot advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Home Depot

kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-HOME

51¢
$4K$4K0.0

Will Gemini advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Gemini

kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-GEMI

51¢
$2K$2K0.0

Will Pepsi advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Pepsi

kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-PEPS

46¢
$7K$7K

Will Toyota advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Toyota

kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-TOYO

42¢
$1K$1K

Will Modelo advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Modelo

kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-MODE

37¢
$2K$2K0.0

Will Celsius advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Celsius

kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-CELS

15¢
$1K$1K

Will Lego advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Lego

kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-LEGO

13¢
$1K$1K0.1

Will Burger King advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Burger King

kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-BURG

11¢
$1K$1K

Will SpaceX / Starlink advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: SpaceX / Starlink

kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-SPAC

10¢
$1K$1K0.1

Will Coinbase advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Coinbase

kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-COIN

4¢
$2K$2K0.3

Will Temu advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Temu

kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-TEMU

3¢
$2K$2K0.3

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

794.9%

IY (No)

12.1%

Adj IY

397%

CRI

8

Overround

8.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

794.9%
12.1%
Adj IY
397%
8
Overround
8.4%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.