Will SpaceX / Starlink advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: SpaceX / Starlink · KXWCADS-26JUL19
Will SpaceX / Starlink advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: SpaceX / Starlink is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside KXWCADS-26JUL19.
Price history
13¢ current
+11¢Contract brief
If SpaceX / Starlink aired at least one qualifying advertisement during the official broadcast of 2026 World Cup Final, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will SpaceX / Starlink advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: SpaceX / Starlink
Rank
#15 of 16
Leader
Will Adidas advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Adidas 94¢
Range
3¢-94¢
Family volume
$46K
Identifier
KXWCADS-26JUL19-SPAC
Jul 11, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 43m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#15 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCADS-26JUL19
Closes
Jul 19, 2027
Family volume
$46K
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If SpaceX / Starlink aired at least one qualifying advertisement during the official broadcast of 2026 World Cup Final, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 19, 2027
Identifier
KXWCADS-26JUL19-SPAC
Event family
KXWCADS-26JUL19.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$46K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Will Adidas advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Adidas 94¢
Current share
4%
Will Adidas advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Adidas
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-ADID
Will Anthropic / Claude advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Anthropic / Claude
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-ANTH
Will Home Depot advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Home Depot
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-HOME
Will DoorDash advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: DoorDash
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-DOOR
Will Nike advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Nike
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-NIKE
Will McDonald's advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: McDonald's
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-MCDO
Will Pepsi advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Pepsi
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-PEPS
Will Gemini advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Gemini
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-GEMI
Will Toyota advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Toyota
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-TOYO
Will Modelo advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Modelo
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-MODE
Will UberEats advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: UberEats
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-UBER
Will Walmart advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Walmart
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-WALM
Will Rocket Mortgage advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Rocket Mortgage
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-ROCK
Will Samsung advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Samsung
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-SAMS
Will SpaceX / Starlink advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: SpaceX / Starlink
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-SPAC
Will Temu advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Temu
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-TEMU
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.