AJ Allmendinger · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26
AJ Allmendinger is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26.
Price history
18¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If AJ Allmendinger finishes in the top 10 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Quaker State 400 Available at Walmart, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
AJ Allmendinger
Rank
#14 of 16
Leader
Joey Logano 46¢
Range
13¢-46¢
Family volume
$718
Identifier
KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-AJAL
Jul 10, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
15¢
Ask
20¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$679
Family rank
#14 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26
Closes
Aug 10, 2026
Family volume
$718
Orderbook snapshot
15 / 20¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If AJ Allmendinger finishes in the top 10 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Quaker State 400 Available at Walmart, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 10, 2026
Identifier
KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-AJAL
Event family
KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$718
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Joey Logano 46¢
Current share
0%
Joey Logano
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-JOLO
Denny Hamlin
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-DEHA
Chase Elliott
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-CHEL
Kyle Larson
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-KYLA
Christopher Bell
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-CHBE
Bubba Wallace
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-BUWA
Chase Briscoe
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-CHBR
Daniel Suárez
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-DASU
Ty Gibbs
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-TYGI
Ricky Stenhouse
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-RIST
Zane Smith
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-ZASM
Erik Jones
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-ERJO
Michael McDowell
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-MIMC
Austin Hill
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-AUHI
AJ Allmendinger
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-AJAL
Riley Herbst
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-RIHE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 18% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.