Bubba Wallace · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26
Bubba Wallace is priced at 40¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 35¢ bid, 40¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26.
Price history
40¢ current
+20¢Contract brief
If Bubba Wallace finishes in the top 10 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Quaker State 400 Available at Walmart, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Bubba Wallace
Rank
#8 of 16
Leader
Ryan Blaney 51¢
Range
17¢-51¢
Family volume
$8K
Identifier
KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-BUWA
Jul 12, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 44m ago
Implied probability
Bid
35¢
Ask
40¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$127
Family rank
#8 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26
Closes
Aug 10, 2026
Family volume
$8K
Orderbook snapshot
35 / 40¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Bubba Wallace finishes in the top 10 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Quaker State 400 Available at Walmart, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 10, 2026
Identifier
KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-BUWA
Event family
KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Ryan Blaney 51¢
Current share
1%
Ryan Blaney
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-RYBL
Joey Logano
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-JOLO
Chase Elliott
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-CHEL
Tyler Reddick
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-TYRE
Denny Hamlin
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-DEHA
Kyle Larson
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-KYLA
Carson Hocevar
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-CAHO
Ross Chastain
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-ROCH
Bubba Wallace
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-BUWA
Daniel Suárez
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-DASU
Shane Van Gisbergen
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-SHVA
Ricky Stenhouse
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-RIST
Alex Bowman
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-ALBO
Austin Dillon
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-AUDI
Erik Jones
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-ERJO
Todd Gilliland
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-TOGI
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.