Graham Platner · Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorse
Graham Platner is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 7 inside Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorse.
Price history
24¢ current
−26¢Contract brief
If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez publicly endorses Graham Platner in Maine Senate before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Graham Platner
Rank
#6 of 7
Leader
Abdul El-Sayed 85¢
Range
3¢-85¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXENDORSEAOC-26NOV03-GPLA
Jun 24, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
20¢
Ask
24¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$2
Family rank
#6 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorse
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
20 / 24¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez publicly endorses Graham Platner in Maine Senate before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Identifier
KXENDORSEAOC-26NOV03-GPLA
Event family
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorse.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Abdul El-Sayed 85¢
Current share
0%
Abdul El-Sayed
kalshi · KXENDORSEAOC-26NOV03-AELS
Claire Valdez
kalshi · KXENDORSEAOC-26NOV03-CVAL
Darializa Avila Chevalier
kalshi · KXENDORSEAOC-26NOV03-DCHE
Cori Bush
kalshi · KXENDORSEAOC-26NOV03-CBUS
Connie Chan
kalshi · KXENDORSEAOC-26NOV03-CCHA
Graham Platner
kalshi · KXENDORSEAOC-26NOV03-GPLA
Nida Allam
kalshi · KXENDORSEAOC-26NOV03-NALL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.