Nebius · Will any company announce acquisition
Nebius is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 82¢ ask, 76¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside Will any company announce acquisition.
Price history
3¢ current
−4¢Contract brief
If any company announces an agreement to acquire Nebius before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Nebius
Rank
#8 of 16
Leader
Perplexity AI 20¢
Range
1¢-20¢
Family volume
$118
Identifier
KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYNEBI
Aug 20, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
82¢
Spread
76¢
24h volume
$9
Family rank
#8 of 16
16 outcomes · Will any company announce acquisition
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$118
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 82¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If any company announces an agreement to acquire Nebius before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYNEBI
Event family
Will any company announce acquisition.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$118
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Perplexity AI 20¢
Current share
8%
Perplexity AI
kalshi · KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYPERP
Cordis
kalshi · KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYCORD
Brown-Forman
kalshi · KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYBFB
GitLab
kalshi · KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYGITL
Zoom
kalshi · KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYZOOM
ElevenLabs
kalshi · KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYELEV
PayPal
kalshi · KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYPAYP
Nebius
kalshi · KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYNEBI
Magnum Ice Cream Company
kalshi · KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYMAGN
MGM Resorts
kalshi · KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYMGM
Figma
kalshi · KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYFIGM
BP
kalshi · KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYBP
Anthropic
kalshi · KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYANTH
eBay
kalshi · KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYEBAY
Ornn
kalshi · KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYORNN
OpenAI
kalshi · KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYOPEN
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.432
Observability
medium
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.