Winner-take-all answer·19 source contracts·Kalshi 19·refreshed just now·Closes Jan 1, 2027 · 222d

Will any company announce acquisition of BP before Jan 1, 2027

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Leader sits at 35% across 19 bound outcomes, runner-up at 26%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

35%

Viking Therapeutics

0¢runner-up 26¢leader 35¢

Outcomes

winner-take-all

Runner-up

26¢

Magnum Ice Cream Company

Spread

9pp

contested

24h volume

$3K

modest

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

222 days

Venue

Kalshi

19 bound

Open top contract Read answer

Source contractsPriceVolume

Will any company announce acquisition of Viking Therapeutics before Jan 1, 2027?: Viking Therapeutics35¢$15 Will any company announce acquisition of Magnum Ice Cream Company before Jan 1, 2027?: Magnum Ice Cream Company26¢$0 Will any company announce acquisition of Cordis before Jan 1, 2027?: Cordis23¢$0 Will any company announce acquisition of Perplexity AI before Jan 1, 2027?: Perplexity AI21¢$500

30-day trend

Viking Therapeutics34¢Magnum Ice Cream Company28¢Cordis21¢

Top 3 candidates by current price · 5d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Cluster 1

Will any company announce acquisition

19 contracts$3K

OutcomePrice24hVolumeVenueDetail

Will any company announce acquisition of Nebius before Jan 1, 2027?: Nebius

KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYNEBI

9¢−2pp$870K→

Will any company announce acquisition of PayPal before Jan 1, 2027?: PayPal

KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYPAYP

7¢−7pp$606K→

Will any company announce acquisition of Perplexity AI before Jan 1, 2027?: Perplexity AI

KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYPERP

21¢−1pp$500K→

Will any company announce acquisition of Anthropic before Jan 1, 2027?: Anthropic

KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYANTH

3¢+1pp$500K→

Will any company announce acquisition of Snap before Jan 1, 2027?: Snap

KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYSNAP

13¢+1pp$500K→

Will any company announce acquisition of BP before Jan 1, 2027?: BP

KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYBP

5¢−2pp$230K→

Will any company announce acquisition of Pizza Hut before Jan 1, 2027?: Pizza Hut

KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYPIZZ

17¢+1pp$171K→

Will any company announce acquisition of Viking Therapeutics before Jan 1, 2027?: Viking Therapeutics

KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYVIKI

35¢−1pp$15K→

Will any company announce acquisition of Spire Healthcare before Jan 1, 2027?: Spire Healthcare

KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYSPIR

17¢−1pp$0K→

Will any company announce acquisition of Six Flags Entertainment before Jan 1, 2027?: Six Flags Entertainment

KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYSIX

15¢−1pp$0K→

Will any company announce acquisition of SentinelOne before Jan 1, 2027?: SentinelOne

KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYSENT

18¢−1pp$0K→

Will any company announce acquisition of Pinterest before Jan 1, 2027?: Pinterest

KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYPINT

17¢−2pp$0K→

Will any company announce acquisition of Magnum Ice Cream Company before Jan 1, 2027?: Magnum Ice Cream Company

KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYMAGN

26¢±0$0K→

Will any company announce acquisition of GitLab before Jan 1, 2027?: GitLab

KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYGITL

10¢−1pp$0K→

Will any company announce acquisition of Figma before Jan 1, 2027?: Figma

KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYFIGM

6¢−1pp$0K→

Will any company announce acquisition of ElevenLabs before Jan 1, 2027?: ElevenLabs

KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYELEV

12¢−1pp$0K→

Will any company announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027?: eBay

KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYEBAY

12¢−6pp$0K→

Will any company announce acquisition of Cordis before Jan 1, 2027?: Cordis

KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYCORD

23¢−1pp$0K→

Will any company announce acquisition of Zoom before Jan 1, 2027?: Zoom

KXACQANNOUNCEANNUAL-27JAN01-ANYZOOM

8¢−1pp$0K→

What moved the line

May 24PayPal↓7pp13→6¢ · Kalshi
May 20PayPal↓6pp19→13¢ · Kalshi
May 20eBay↓6pp19→13¢ · Kalshi
May 21Figma↓5pp12→7¢ · Kalshi
May 20Nebius↓4pp17→13¢ · Kalshi

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

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