Will any sitting Supreme Court Justice be charged with a any federal crime before Jan 1, 2027
Will any sitting Supreme Court Justice be charged with a any federal crime before Jan 1, 2027 is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
3¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If any sitting Supreme Court Justice has been formally charged with any U.S. federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will any sitting Supreme Court Justice be charged with a any federal crime before Jan 1, 2027
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXSUPREMECOURTCHARGE-27JAN01
Jun 7, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
10¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 10¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If any sitting Supreme Court Justice has been formally charged with any U.S. federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXSUPREMECOURTCHARGE-27JAN01
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will any sitting Supreme Court Justice be charged with a any federal crime before Jan 1, 2027 3¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.