Before Nov 14 · Will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority before
Before Nov 14 is priced at 94¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 91¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 8 inside Will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority before.
Price history
94¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. House majority before 12AM ET on Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Nov 14
Rank
#2 of 8
Leader
Before Jan 1 94¢
Range
8¢-94¢
Family volume
$650
Identifier
KXAPCALLHOUSE-26AUG20-NOV1412A
Aug 24, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
91¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#2 of 8
8 outcomes · Will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority before
Closes
Nov 14, 2026
Family volume
$650
Orderbook snapshot
91 / 97¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. House majority before 12AM ET on Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 14, 2026
Identifier
KXAPCALLHOUSE-26AUG20-NOV1412A
Event family
Will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$650
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Before Jan 1 94¢
Current share
0%
Before Jan 1
kalshi · KXAPCALLHOUSE-26AUG20-JAN0112A
Before Nov 14
kalshi · KXAPCALLHOUSE-26AUG20-NOV1412A
Before Nov 11
kalshi · KXAPCALLHOUSE-26AUG20-NOV1112A
Before Nov 6
kalshi · KXAPCALLHOUSE-26AUG20-NOV0612A
Before 4AM Nov 4
kalshi · KXAPCALLHOUSE-26AUG20-NOV044A
Before 1AM Nov 4
kalshi · KXAPCALLHOUSE-26AUG20-NOV041A
Before Nov 4
kalshi · KXAPCALLHOUSE-26AUG20-NOV0412A
Before 11PM Nov 3
kalshi · KXAPCALLHOUSE-26AUG20-NOV0311P
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.