Before 2027 · Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before
Before 2027 is priced at 17¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before.
Price history
17¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before 2027
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Before 2027 16¢
Range
1¢-16¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXIPHONERELEASE-IPHONE18-27JAN01
Jun 28, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 25m ago
Implied probability
Bid
16¢
Ask
17¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
16 / 17¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXIPHONERELEASE-IPHONE18-27JAN01
Event family
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Before 2027 16¢
Current share
30%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.