Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Oct 1, 2026?
This contract is priced at 17¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
3
Family volume
$5K
Best sibling
Before 2027 25¢
Ticker
KXIPHONERELEASE-IPHONE18-26OCT01
Market snapshot
Before October in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Oct 1, 2026?. The displayed quote is 17¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $1K. In the Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before family, this outcome ranks #2 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.
Outcome
Before October
Family rank
#2 of 3
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
17¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Oct 1, 2026
24h volume
$1K
Family context
3 outcomes · Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before
Quote range
2¢-25¢
Family leader
Before 2027 25¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 7m ago
Venue identifier: KXIPHONERELEASE-IPHONE18-26OCT01. Family volume: $5K.
Price history
17¢ current
−5¢Orderbook snapshot
16 / 17¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 1, 2026
Identifier
KXIPHONERELEASE-IPHONE18-26OCT01
Event family
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Before 2027 25¢
Current share
23%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
cultural
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
Read 17% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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