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Will Argentina inflation rate MoM for August 2026 be above 1.6%

Will Argentina inflation rate MoM for August 2026 be above 1.6% is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

18¢ current

34¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Aug 18, 2026Sep 1, 2026

Contract brief

If the Argentina inflation rate MoM for August 2026 is above 1.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will Argentina inflation rate MoM for August 2026 be above 1.6%

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXARMOMINF-26SEP10-T1.6

Sep 17, 2026, 6:23 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

18¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 17, 2026, 6:23 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

100¢

Spread

100¢

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Sep 10, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 100¢

Kalshi
100¢ spread
No public depth snapshot is cached for this contract yet.

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Argentina inflation rate MoM for August 2026 is above 1.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 10, 2026

Identifier

KXARMOMINF-26SEP10-T1.6

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$2K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will Argentina inflation rate MoM for August 2026 be above 1.6% 18¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Odds pages

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.