Armenia · KXEUROVISIONPARTICIPANTS-27
Armenia is priced at 92¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 86¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside KXEUROVISIONPARTICIPANTS-27.
Price history
92¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If Armenia has performed as an official entry in the Eurovision Song Contest 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Armenia
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
Australia 88¢
Range
21¢-88¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXEUROVISIONPARTICIPANTS-27-ARM
Jun 7, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
86¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
11¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · KXEUROVISIONPARTICIPANTS-27
Closes
May 31, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
86 / 97¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Armenia has performed as an official entry in the Eurovision Song Contest 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 31, 2027
Identifier
KXEUROVISIONPARTICIPANTS-27-ARM
Event family
KXEUROVISIONPARTICIPANTS-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Australia 88¢
Current share
—
Australia
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONPARTICIPANTS-27-AUS
Armenia
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONPARTICIPANTS-27-ARM
Albania
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONPARTICIPANTS-27-ALB
Austria
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONPARTICIPANTS-27-AUST
Azerbaijan
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONPARTICIPANTS-27-AZE
Bulgaria
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONPARTICIPANTS-27-BUL
Croatia
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONPARTICIPANTS-27-CRO
Cyprus
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONPARTICIPANTS-27-CYR
Czechia
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONPARTICIPANTS-27-CZE
Denmark
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONPARTICIPANTS-27-DEN
Estonia
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONPARTICIPANTS-27-EST
Finland
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONPARTICIPANTS-27-FIN
France
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONPARTICIPANTS-27-FRA
Georgia
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONPARTICIPANTS-27-GEO
Belgium
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONPARTICIPANTS-27-BEL
Canada
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONPARTICIPANTS-27-CAN
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 92% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.