Roy Cooper · Will Barack Obama endorse
Roy Cooper is priced at 86¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 82¢ bid, 89¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 7 inside Will Barack Obama endorse.
Price history
86¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Barack Obama publicly endorses Roy Cooper in North Carolina Senate before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Roy Cooper
Rank
#2 of 7
Leader
Jon Ossoff 84¢
Range
22¢-84¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXOBAMAENDORSE-26NOV03-RCOO
Jul 13, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
82¢
Ask
89¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#2 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Barack Obama endorse
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
82 / 89¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Barack Obama publicly endorses Roy Cooper in North Carolina Senate before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Identifier
KXOBAMAENDORSE-26NOV03-RCOO
Event family
Will Barack Obama endorse.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Jon Ossoff 84¢
Current share
—
Jon Ossoff
kalshi · KXOBAMAENDORSE-26NOV03-JOSS
Roy Cooper
kalshi · KXOBAMAENDORSE-26NOV03-RCOO
Sherrod Brown
kalshi · KXOBAMAENDORSE-26NOV03-SBRO
Keisha Lance Bottoms
kalshi · KXOBAMAENDORSE-26NOV03-KBOT
Mary Peltola
kalshi · KXOBAMAENDORSE-26NOV03-MPEL
Dan Osborn
kalshi · KXOBAMAENDORSE-26NOV03-DOSB
Karen Bass
kalshi · KXOBAMAENDORSE-26NOV03-KBAS
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.