SimpleFunctions

Bebe Rexha · KX1SONG-DEC2626

Bebe Rexha is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside KX1SONG-DEC2626.

Price history

7¢ current

5¢10¢
May 24, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Bebe Rexha has a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Bebe Rexha

Rank

#13 of 16

Leader

Drake 98¢

Range

2¢-98¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KX1SONG-DEC2626-BEB

May 24, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 7m ago

Implied probability

7¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 7m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$174

Family rank

#13 of 16

16 outcomes · KX1SONG-DEC2626

Closes

Dec 21, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 7¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
100¢225
4¢100
3¢74
2¢146
AskSize
7¢326
8¢500
14¢100
19¢450
21¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Bebe Rexha has a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 21, 2026

Identifier

KX1SONG-DEC2626-BEB

SF Signal
SF Index
2078.13
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4156.3%

IY (No)

7.2%

Adj IY

2078%

CRI

24

Overround

8.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4156.3%
7.2%
Adj IY
2078%
24
Overround
8.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.