SimpleFunctions

PinkPantheress · KX1SONG-DEC2626

PinkPantheress is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KX1SONG-DEC2626.

Price history

12¢ current

10¢15¢
Jul 4, 2026Jul 10, 2026

Contract brief

If PinkPantheress has a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

PinkPantheress

Rank

#5 of 16

Leader

Post Malone 49¢

Range

1¢-49¢

Family volume

$396

Identifier

KX1SONG-DEC2626-PIN

Jul 12, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 5m ago

Implied probability

12¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 12, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 5m ago

Bid

12¢

Ask

16¢

Spread

Reported volume

$1K

Family rank

#5 of 16

16 outcomes · KX1SONG-DEC2626

Closes

Dec 21, 2026

Family volume

$396

Orderbook snapshot

12 / 16¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
12¢5
11¢62
8¢274
7¢500
3¢202
AskSize
16¢8
17¢5
19¢52
20¢550
21¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If PinkPantheress has a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 21, 2026

Identifier

KX1SONG-DEC2626-PIN

SF Signal
SF Index
828.61
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1657.2%

IY (No)

30.8%

Adj IY

829%

CRI

7

Overround

7.7%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1657.2%
30.8%
Adj IY
829%
7
Overround
7.7%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.