SimpleFunctions

Bo Nix · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5

Bo Nix is priced at 23¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5.

Price history

23¢ current

+21¢
0¢10¢20¢
Aug 24, 2026Aug 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Bo Nix finishes top 5 in scoring among quarterbacks for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Bo Nix

Rank

#6 of 16

Leader

Drake Maye 19¢

Range

4¢-19¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-BNIX10

Aug 27, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 43m ago

Implied probability

23¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 27, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 43m ago

Bid

11¢

Ask

23¢

Spread

12¢

Reported volume

$20

Family rank

#6 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 23¢

Kalshi
12¢ spread
BidSize
11¢181
10¢450
AskSize
23¢450
80¢1.1K
83¢30
97¢54
98¢150

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Bo Nix finishes top 5 in scoring among quarterbacks for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-BNIX10

SF Signal
SF Index
1024.27
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2048.5%

IY (No)

31.3%

Adj IY

1024%

CRI

8

Overround

1.7%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2048.5%
31.3%
Adj IY
1024%
8
Overround
1.7%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.