Cam Ward · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5
Cam Ward is priced at 18¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5.
Price history
18¢ current
Contract brief
If Cam Ward finishes top 5 in scoring among quarterbacks for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Cam Ward
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
Drake Maye 19¢
Range
4¢-19¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-CWARD1
Aug 27, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 43m ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
24¢
Spread
13¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5
Closes
Jan 18, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 24¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Cam Ward finishes top 5 in scoring among quarterbacks for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 18, 2027
Identifier
KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-CWARD1
Event family
KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Drake Maye 19¢
Current share
—
Drake Maye
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-DMAYE10
Jalen Hurts
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-JHURTS1
Joe Burrow
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-JBURROW9
Brock Purdy
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-BPURDY13
Jaxson Dart
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-JDART6
Cam Ward
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-CWARD1
Bo Nix
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-BNIX10
Caleb Williams
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-CWILLIAMS18
Dak Prescott
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-DPRESCOTT4
Josh Allen
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-JALLEN17
Jayden Daniels
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-JDANIELS5
Justin Herbert
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-JHERBERT10
Geno Smith
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-GSMITH7
Jared Goff
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-JGOFF16
Baker Mayfield
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-BMAYFIELD6
Fernando Mendoza
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-FMENDOZA15
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.