Josh Allen · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5
Josh Allen is priced at 56¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 49¢ bid, 62¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5.
Price history
56¢ current
+16¢Contract brief
If Josh Allen finishes top 5 in scoring among quarterbacks for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Josh Allen
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Josh Allen 49¢
Range
1¢-49¢
Family volume
$205
Identifier
KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-JALLEN17
Aug 25, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
49¢
Ask
62¢
Spread
13¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5
Closes
Jan 18, 2027
Family volume
$205
Orderbook snapshot
49 / 62¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Josh Allen finishes top 5 in scoring among quarterbacks for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 18, 2027
Identifier
KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-JALLEN17
Event family
KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$205
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Josh Allen 49¢
Current share
0%
Josh Allen
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-JALLEN17
Lamar Jackson
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-LJACKSON8
Drake Maye
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-DMAYE10
Jayden Daniels
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-JDANIELS5
Joe Burrow
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-JBURROW9
Dak Prescott
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-DPRESCOTT4
Brock Purdy
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-BPURDY13
Jaxson Dart
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-JDART6
Caleb Williams
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-CWILLIAMS18
Bo Nix
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-BNIX10
Jared Goff
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-JGOFF16
Baker Mayfield
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-BMAYFIELD6
Fernando Mendoza
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-FMENDOZA15
Patrick Mahomes
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-PMAHOMES15
Cam Ward
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-CWARD1
Geno Smith
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT5-GSMITH7
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
How to Scan Prediction Market Orderbooks: Spread, Depth, and Liquidity Analysis
Practical guide to analyzing orderbook data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Learn spread, depth, liquidity scoring, and executable edge calculation.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter
How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 56% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.