Will Brendan Boyle be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Pennsylvania?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and minimal open interest of $1,891.74, making the 32¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning. The asymmetric implied yields—72.3% for Yes versus 10.9% for No—suggest significant mispricing or reflect genuine uncertainty about Boyle's nomination prospects in a race that won't conclude until late 2028. With nearly four years until expiry and a modest 8¢ spread, this appears to be a speculative long-tail bet with limited market depth rather than an actively traded contract.

Resolution rules

If Brendan Boyle wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III Pennsylvania Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

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