Will Chris Deluzio be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Pennsylvania?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with just $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 7¢ price potentially unreliable as a true probability estimate. The 673.5% implied yield on the Yes side is exceptionally high and suggests either severe mispricing or that traders view Deluzio as a long-shot candidate with minimal nomination prospects. With over three years until expiry and a modest 3¢ spread, there's insufficient trading activity to establish confidence in the current valuation, though the recent uptick from 3¢ to 4¢ indicates some nascent interest in the contract.

Resolution rules

If Chris Deluzio wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III Pennsylvania Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

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