Will Chris Deluzio be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Pennsylvania?

7¢
Bid/Ask 4/10¢·Spread 6¢·Vol $0·OI $1·Closes Nov 7, 2029·1298d remaining
KXSENATEPAD-28-CDEL

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with just $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 7¢ price potentially unreliable as a true probability estimate. The 674.7% implied yield on the Yes side is extraordinarily high and reflects the thin market rather than genuine opportunity, while the 6¢ spread is wide relative to the price itself. With nearly 3.5 years until expiration and minimal trading activity, this contract lacks the depth needed for confident position-taking despite the mathematically attractive yield.

Resolution rules

If Chris Deluzio wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III Pennsylvania Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 674.7%
IY (No) 1.2%
Adj IY 337%
CRI 24
Overround -0.2%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)674.7%
IY (No)1.2%
Adj IY337%
CRI24
Overround-0.2%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
6¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 8:08:53 AM
Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 8:08:31 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXSENATEPAD-28-CDEL yes 100

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