BTS · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26AUG01
BTS is priced at 97¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 92¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 7 inside KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26AUG01.
Price history
97¢ current
+94¢Contract brief
If BTS is #1 on Any Spotify Daily Top Songs Global chart in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
BTS
Rank
#2 of 7
Leader
Taylor Swift 97¢
Range
2¢-97¢
Family volume
$8
Identifier
KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26AUG01-BTS
Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
96¢
Spread
92¢
24h volume
$7
Family rank
#2 of 7
7 outcomes · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26AUG01
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Family volume
$8
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 96¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If BTS is #1 on Any Spotify Daily Top Songs Global chart in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Identifier
KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26AUG01-BTS
Event family
KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26AUG01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Taylor Swift 97¢
Current share
88%
Taylor Swift
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26AUG01-TAY
BTS
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26AUG01-BTS
Michael Jackson
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26AUG01-MIC
Olivia Rodrigo
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26AUG01-OLII
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26AUG01-ARI
Burna Boy
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26AUG01-BUR
Justin Bieber
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26AUG01-JUS
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 97% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.