Ross Chastain · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26
Ross Chastain is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 34¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26.
Price history
37¢ current
+25¢Contract brief
If Ross Chastain finishes in the top 10 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Quaker State 400 Available at Walmart, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Ross Chastain
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
Joey Logano 46¢
Range
3¢-46¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-ROCH
Jul 11, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 37m ago
Implied probability
Bid
34¢
Ask
39¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$53
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26
Closes
Aug 10, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
34 / 39¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ross Chastain finishes in the top 10 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Quaker State 400 Available at Walmart, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 10, 2026
Identifier
KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-ROCH
Event family
KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Joey Logano 46¢
Current share
2%
Joey Logano
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-JOLO
Tyler Reddick
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-TYRE
Kyle Larson
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-KYLA
Chase Elliott
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-CHEL
Carson Hocevar
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-CAHO
Bubba Wallace
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-BUWA
Daniel Suárez
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-DASU
Ross Chastain
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-ROCH
Ty Gibbs
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-TYGI
Shane Van Gisbergen
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-SHVA
Ricky Stenhouse
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-RIST
Alex Bowman
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-ALBO
Zane Smith
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-ZASM
Austin Dillon
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-AUDI
Chad Finchum
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-CHFI
BJ McLeod
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP10-QUAS4AA26-BJMC
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 37% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.