SimpleFunctions

Cartunez by Ken Carson have above 15000 Album Equivalent Units during the July 10, 2026 -July 16, 2026 tracking week

Above 15K is priced at 65¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 67¢ bid, 68¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 10 inside Will cartunez by Ken Carson have above.

Price history

65¢ current

2¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jul 6, 2026Jul 7, 2026

Contract brief

If cartunez by Ken Carson has above 15K Album Equivalent Units during the July 10, 2026 -July 16, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 15K

Rank

#3 of 10

Leader

Above 5K 88¢

Range

3¢-88¢

Family volume

$592

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-CAR26JUL16-15K

Jul 7, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

65¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 7, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

67¢

Ask

68¢

Spread

24h volume

$38

Family rank

#3 of 10

10 outcomes · Will cartunez by Ken Carson have above

Closes

Jul 19, 2026

Family volume

$592

Orderbook snapshot

67 / 68¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
67¢87
62¢250
31¢21
30¢422
29¢44
AskSize
68¢403
75¢87
89¢26
90¢200
91¢686

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If cartunez by Ken Carson has above 15K Album Equivalent Units during the July 10, 2026 -July 16, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 19, 2026

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-CAR26JUL16-15K

SF Signal
SF Index
6125.48
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXALBUMEQUIV series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1486.0%

IY (No)

6125.5%

Adj IY

6125%

CRI

2

RV

60936%

VR

12.26

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1486.0%
6125.5%
Adj IY
6125%
2
RV
60936%
VR
12.26
IAR
0.9/h
Overround
2.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.