SimpleFunctions

Cartunez by Ken Carson have above 30000 Album Equivalent Units during the July 10, 2026 -July 16, 2026 tracking week

Above 30K is priced at 31¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 31¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 10 inside Will cartunez by Ken Carson have above.

Price history

31¢ current

+20¢
0¢25¢
Jul 6, 2026Jul 7, 2026

Contract brief

If cartunez by Ken Carson has above 30K Album Equivalent Units during the July 10, 2026 -July 16, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 30K

Rank

#6 of 10

Leader

Above 5K 88¢

Range

3¢-88¢

Family volume

$592

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-CAR26JUL16-30K

Jul 7, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

31¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 7, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

28¢

Ask

31¢

Spread

24h volume

$142

Family rank

#6 of 10

10 outcomes · Will cartunez by Ken Carson have above

Closes

Jul 19, 2026

Family volume

$592

Orderbook snapshot

28 / 31¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
28¢250
23¢94
7¢31
6¢45
5¢13
AskSize
31¢344
70¢438
71¢50
81¢30
92¢25

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If cartunez by Ken Carson has above 30K Album Equivalent Units during the July 10, 2026 -July 16, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 19, 2026

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-CAR26JUL16-30K

SF Signal
SF Index
3469.61
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXALBUMEQUIV series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

7771.6%

IY (No)

1175.3%

Adj IY

3470%

CRI

3

Overround

2.9%

LAS

0.11

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

7771.6%
1175.3%
Adj IY
3470%
3
Overround
2.9%
LAS
0.11

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.