Exactly 5 cuts · Will Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026
Exactly 5 cuts is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 37¢ bid, 38¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside Will Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026.
Price history
37¢ current
+21¢Contract brief
If the total number of Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 is exactly 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Exactly 5 cuts
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
Exactly 4 cuts 48¢
Range
1¢-48¢
Family volume
$396
Identifier
KXBRRATECUT-27JAN01-E5
Jun 26, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
37¢
Ask
38¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$53
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · Will Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$396
Orderbook snapshot
37 / 38¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the total number of Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 is exactly 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXBRRATECUT-27JAN01-E5
Event family
Will Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$396
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Exactly 4 cuts 48¢
Current share
13%
Exactly 4 cuts
kalshi · KXBRRATECUT-27JAN01-E4
Exactly 5 cuts
kalshi · KXBRRATECUT-27JAN01-E5
Exactly 3 cuts
kalshi · KXBRRATECUT-27JAN01-E3
Exactly 6 cuts
kalshi · KXBRRATECUT-27JAN01-E6
7 or more cuts
kalshi · KXBRRATECUT-27JAN01-T7
Exactly 2 cuts
kalshi · KXBRRATECUT-27JAN01-E2
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.